Bg1211Aesti · Polymarket wallet 0xc934…9887

Wallet snapshot

Bg1211Aesti has made 236 trades on Polymarket across 92 markets, $876 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (58%) and politics (29%). On 69 resolved markets the win rate is 73.9%, lifetime P&L +$4. It holds 17 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?". Last trade: Nov 3, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?No · $12 · 84¢ → 98¢
• Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No · $11 · 86¢ → 92¢
• Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No · $7 · 80¢ → 95¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $6 · 66¢ → 85¢
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · $5 · 73¢ → 99¢
• Plague pandemic in 2026?No · $5 · 94¢ → 99¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $5 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026?No · $4 · 85¢ → 64¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No · $2 · 82¢ → 97¢
• Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Yes · $2 · 51¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?Yes · +$6 · Nov 6, 2026
• Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?Yes · -$1 · Nov 6, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$19 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$10 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No · +$0 · Nov 3, 2026
• Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.