Tech/AI80 days left
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $25 in 2026?
YES Price
72¢
72% implied
NO Price
28¢
28% implied
Volume
$3.1K
149 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 53 traders
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $13.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs4 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+3 new NO$16
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $401 is directional: YES $271·NO $129YES Team
Total Invested
$351
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+10.6%)
Whales
4
2
26xyz🥇
Entry 74¢·367.9 shares
Invested
$271
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $271 · WR 69.2%
H
hithitfar🥈hedged
Entry 42¢·96 shares·also $77 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $40 · WR 59.7%
C
CosmicCedar◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 90.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 64¢·30 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $19 · WR 72.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$206
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-34.7%)
Whales
4
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥇
Entry 42¢·229 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $96 · WR 59.0%
H
hithitfar🥈hedged
Entry 80¢·96 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$77
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $77 · WR 59.7%
V
Viserys🥉
Entry 15¢·141 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $21 · WR 72.4%
T
tianqizhizi
Entry 58¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $12 · WR 58.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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