Kactus · Polymarket wallet 0xadf1…6460

Wallet snapshot

Kactus has made 4,468 trades on Polymarket across 519 markets, $68K in volume. Most of it is in politics (23%) and sports (7%). On 484 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$3,843. It holds 6 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2,858 · 50¢ → 64¢
• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $1,643 · 50¢ → 37¢
• Will no Rogan episode air?No · $58 · 99¢ → 96¢
• Will "Nordic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No · $35 · 55¢ → 70¢
• Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his next livestream?No · $25 · 54¢ → 49¢
• Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?No · $9 · 90¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?Yes · -$6 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 12?No · +$22 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in New York?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• Plague case in US by December 31?No · +$4 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will "Mark Zuckerberg" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026

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