Geopolitics116 days left
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$23.2K
557 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 145 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
20 MARKETS · $393.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs8 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $253 is directional: YES $12·NO $241YES Team
Total Invested
$189
Avg Win Rate
88.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$150(-79.5%)
Whales
4
1
123f18🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·164.4 shares·also $158 on NO
Invested
$163
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-134
$-134INV $163 · WR 92.3%
L
Lolakis🥈
Entry 88¢·13.7 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $12 · WR 62.0%
O
One-Eyed.Jack🥉
Entry 30¢·40 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $12 · WR 65.6%
6
0x6702ea5b...hedged
Entry 70¢·3.8 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 58.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$410
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+9.8%)
Whales
8
V
vinii🥇
Entry 75¢·272.7 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $205 · WR 65.5%
1
123f18🥈hedged
Entry 77¢·204.4 shares·also $163 on YES
Invested
$158
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $158 · WR 92.3%
G
ghorrock🥉
Entry 72¢·27.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $20 · WR 57.8%
1
0x1ff3d3fd...
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 57.1%
M
maomao228
Entry 71¢·14 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 63.8%
R
runechiters
Entry 73¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.7%
6
0x6702ea5b...hedged
Entry 28¢·3.8 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 58.0%
H
hspje89
Entry 82¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 80.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 866ms