2fef2 · Polymarket wallet 0x8fdb…96eb

Wallet snapshot

2fef2 has made 6,295 trades on Polymarket across 82 markets, $138K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (27%) and politics (6%). On 10 resolved markets the win rate is 90%, lifetime P&L +$1,779. It holds 144 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?". Last trade: Oct 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?Yes · $4,424 · 94¢ → 95¢
• Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?Yes · $1,770 · 94¢ → 96¢
• Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?No · $1,203 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?No · $862 · 72¢ → 94¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?Yes · $850 · 74¢ → 88¢
• Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by October 31, 2026?No · $751 · 82¢ → 98¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?Yes · $601 · 63¢ → 79¢
• Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026?Yes · $557 · 79¢ → 86¢
• Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No · $533 · 83¢ → 93¢
• Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in October?No · $505 · 74¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze?Yes · +$3 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?Yes · +$17 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes · -$1 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Yes · -$8 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?No · -$5 · Oct 4, 2026
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$13 · Oct 4, 2026
• Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.