Geopolitics48 days left
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$2.0K
100 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 33 traders
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
4 MARKETS · $51.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs5 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $377 is directional: YES $0·NO $377YES Team
Total Invested
$164
Avg Win Rate
90.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$127(-77.7%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$485
Avg Win Rate
69.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$119(+24.6%)
Whales
5
D
David6🥇
Entry 90¢·222.9 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $200 · WR 66.7%
J
JJJAY🥈
Entry 84¢·160 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $134 · WR 61.2%
2
2fef2🥉hedged
Entry 33¢·280.3 shares·also $164 on YES
Invested
$92
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $92 · WR 90.0%
E
Eia
Entry 85¢·50 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $43 · WR 61.7%
L
long-time
Entry 85¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 68.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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