Geopolitics70 days left
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$45.2K
1,017 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 204 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $1.28M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs12 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$255+15 new NO$2.3K
$336 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $47·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-63.5%)
Whales
8
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 106¢·1,402.8 shares·also $717 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-1064
$-1064INV $1.5K · WR 65.8%
2
2dd3🥈hedged
Entry 79¢·377.2 shares·also $167 on NO
Invested
$298
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-185
$-185INV $298 · WR 83.3%
0
0VLYp🥉hedged
Entry 86¢·341 shares·also $97 on NO
Invested
$293
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-191
$-191INV $293 · WR 78.0%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 44¢·633.1 shares
Invested
$279
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $279 · WR 63.5%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 79¢·176 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$139
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $139 · WR 82.4%
J
Jesetrading
Entry 30¢·120 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $36 · WR 67.5%
K
KG008
Entry 34¢·32 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 77.4%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 21¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 59.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$892(+37.1%)
Whales
12
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 41¢·1,761 shares·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$717
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$516
+$516INV $717 · WR 65.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 80¢·852.7 shares
Invested
$682
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $682 · WR 57.6%
K
Konfucious🥉
Entry 72¢·369.5 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $266 · WR 61.8%
A
adasol
Entry 71¢·344.7 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $246 · WR 67.7%
2
2dd3hedged
Entry 26¢·650 shares·also $298 on YES
Invested
$167
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$288
+$288INV $167 · WR 83.3%
P
puravida
Entry 83¢·120 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $100 · WR 59.7%
0
0VLYphedged
Entry 28¢·341 shares·also $293 on YES
Invested
$97
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$142
+$142INV $97 · WR 78.0%
2
2fef2hedged
Entry 33¢·176 shares·also $139 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $59 · WR 82.4%
S
Sylphyr
Entry 83¢·50 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $42 · WR 64.1%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 70¢·42.3 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $29 · WR 83.5%
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