101456 · Polymarket wallet 0x8de0…7f22

+$13,552 lifetime P&L · 55.3% win rate · 219 resolved markets · 0x8de0771af4eb2785fe64eab139399abd30bd7f22

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Wallet snapshot

101456 has made 1,104 trades on Polymarket across 321 markets, $156K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (35%) and politics (15%). On 219 resolved markets the win rate is 55.3%, lifetime P&L +$14K. It holds 85 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?". Last trade: Oct 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes · $3,067 · 15¢ → 30¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes · $2,408 · 76¢ → 92¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes · $1,809 · 41¢ → 65¢
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No · $1,563 · 81¢ → 82¢
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No · $1,492 · 60¢ → 90¢
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No · $1,266 · 50¢ → 95¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No · $934 · 71¢ → 90¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No · $854 · 44¢ → 52¢
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No · $852 · 50¢ → 69¢
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No · $822 · 3¢ → 4¢

Latest closed positions

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $0 · Oct 22, 2026
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No · $0 · Oct 22, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes · +$68 · Oct 22, 2026
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Yes · +$900 · Oct 22, 2026
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · -$124 · Oct 21, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes · +$0 · Oct 21, 2026
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.