YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$116.6K
914 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 229 traders
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
6 MARKETS · $6.05M MATCHEDSmart Money
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
35¢+12¢$408.7K55/62US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31+12¢35¢
$408.7K55/62
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15←
60¢−10¢$116.6K37/37US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15←−10¢60¢
$116.6K37/37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
43¢+1¢$456.0K57/73US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30+1¢43¢
$456.0K57/73
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12
98¢−24¢$1.70M163/56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12−24¢98¢
$1.70M163/56
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
38 YESvs37 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 18 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 74%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$7.3K+14 new NO$2.7K
$442 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $22.0K is directional: YES $13.8K·NO $8.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$17.0K
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+6.8%)
Whales
38
C
classified◆Proven🥇
Entry 59¢·18,091 shares
Invested
$10.6K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $10.6K · WR 82.7%
D
Dragontree◆Proven🥈
Entry 58¢·3,880 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $2.2K · WR 67.4%
P
paddaa🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·1,535.7 shares·also $712 on NO
Invested
$641
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$272
+$272INV $641 · WR 61.1%
T
Trading4Fridge
Entry 30¢·1,552.9 shares
Invested
$473
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$451
+$451INV $473 · WR 57.4%
M
Malganis
Entry 56¢·693.2 shares
Invested
$386
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $386 · WR 75.0%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 61¢·491.8 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $300 · WR 57.1%
N
NatiImBackToUhedged
Entry 43¢·568.4 shares·also $324 on NO
Invested
$244
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $244 · WR 68.9%
P
Porx
Entry 59¢·300 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $177 · WR 65.9%
C
CT-testhedged
Entry 39¢·410.7 shares·also $210 on NO
Invested
$161
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $161 · WR 64.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 48¢·317.5 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $152 · WR 70.5%
Showing top 10 of 38
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.6K
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-8.9%)
Whales
37
E
ED99999🥇
Entry 41¢·5,179.2 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $2.1K · WR 73.6%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven🥈
Entry 44¢·3,999.9 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $1.8K · WR 64.8%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥉
Entry 44¢·2,923.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $1.3K · WR 75.9%
M
Marco-Rubio
Entry 55¢·1,662.3 shares
Invested
$922
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $922 · WR 62.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 42¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$850
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $850 · WR 57.7%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 46¢·1,535.7 shares·also $641 on YES
Invested
$712
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $712 · WR 61.1%
M
MisTKy
Entry 54¢·1,086.1 shares
Invested
$587
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $587 · WR 71.3%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 43¢·1,167.4 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $500 · WR 73.8%
S
StarMaster◆Proven
Entry 44¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$439
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $439 · WR 55.4%
U
uraw
Entry 48¢·823.8 shares
Invested
$395
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $395 · WR 65.4%
Showing top 10 of 37
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