Geopolitics251 days left
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$65.8K
1,724 trades
Smart Whales
55
of 294 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $196.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+28¢$6.1K7/18Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+28¢0¢
$6.1K7/18
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+41¢$6.6K12/17Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+41¢0¢
$6.6K12/17
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+54¢$4.9K14/12Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+54¢0¢
$4.9K14/12
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
22¢−5¢$61.1K8/40Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026−5¢22¢
$61.1K8/40
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Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs41 NO
26%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 68% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$29+5 new NO$110
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.3K is directional: YES $4.3K·NO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$723(-15.4%)
Whales
14
K
kupoz🥇
Entry 57¢·3,947.2 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $2.2K · WR 81.3%
M
michi1🥈
Entry 39¢·4,764.4 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-490
$-490INV $1.9K · WR 66.7%
M
molodoyy🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·142.9 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$133
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $133 · WR 63.4%
T
timeCtrl
Entry 61¢·200 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $122 · WR 58.3%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 26¢·373.2 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $96 · WR 56.4%
K
klli27
Entry 45¢·165 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $74 · WR 85.7%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 68¢·58.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $40 · WR 69.6%
P
Pointed-Pomegranate
Entry 58¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 73.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 26¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 68.0%
Showing top 9 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+19.5%)
Whales
41
1
101456🥇
Entry 50¢·3,812.2 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-152
$-152INV $1.9K · WR 55.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 43¢·2,203 shares
Invested
$955
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$411
+$411INV $955 · WR 72.1%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 42¢·2,158.6 shares
Invested
$907
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$431
+$431INV $907 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·1,330.6 shares
Invested
$660
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $660 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 49¢·694.9 shares
Invested
$341
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $341 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 46¢·604 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $277 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 69¢·260 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $178 · WR 88.9%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·238.1 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $119 · WR 84.1%
Y
YTMD
Entry 29¢·353.9 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $104 · WR 71.9%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 46¢·211.3 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $98 · WR 69.7%
Showing top 10 of 41
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