Geopolitics248 days left
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$4.9K
477 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 78 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $201.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+31¢$6.2K8/18Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+31¢0¢
$6.2K8/18
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+47¢$6.6K14/16Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+47¢0¢
$6.6K14/16
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←
0¢+59¢$4.9K16/11Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←+59¢0¢
$4.9K16/11
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
24¢−6¢$63.4K9/40Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026−6¢24¢
$63.4K9/40
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Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs11 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $191 is directional: YES $190·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$546
Avg Win Rate
78.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$545(-99.8%)
Whales
16
L
LuckiestBets🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·424.2 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$356
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $356 · WR 75.9%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 17¢·260 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 88.8%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 17¢·135 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $23 · WR 86.5%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 17¢·110.7 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 67.5%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 17¢·94.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 84.4%
G
god83743894
Entry 17¢·85 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 85.9%
K
kaxel78
Entry 17¢·80.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 86.8%
A
akroll
Entry 17¢·75.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 86.6%
L
Likaseent
Entry 17¢·61.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 83.2%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 17¢·60 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$767
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+197.1%)
Whales
11
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·378.2 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$189
+$189INV $189 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 56¢·250 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $141 · WR 88.6%
L
LuckiestBets🥉hedged
Entry 24¢·402.2 shares·also $356 on YES
Invested
$95
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$307
+$307INV $95 · WR 75.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·184 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $92 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·162.1 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $81 · WR 79.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60 · WR 72.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 58¢·100 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $58 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 8¢·660.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$609
+$609INV $51 · WR 85.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.8%
K
korda77
Entry 1¢·13.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $0 · WR 85.3%
Showing top 10 of 11
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