Geopolitics293 days left
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.3K
219 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 67 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+11¢$1.5K1/8Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+11¢0¢
$1.5K1/8
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+29¢$4.5K4/10Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+29¢0¢
$4.5K4/10
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←
0¢+33¢$3.3K5/10Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←+33¢0¢
$3.3K5/10
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
5¢+12¢$4.4K3/15Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+12¢5¢
$4.4K3/15
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $100 is directional: YES $99·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$454
Avg Win Rate
77.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$454(-99.8%)
Whales
5
L
LuckiestBets🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·424.2 shares·also $95 on NO
Invested
$356
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $356 · WR 75.8%
L
laptop.recked🥈
Entry 17¢·550 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $92 · WR 85.9%
M
molodoyy🥉
Entry 2¢·235.6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 65.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 17¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 85.5%
B
beatrix99
Entry 17¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$792
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$940(+118.8%)
Whales
10
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 50¢·378.2 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$189
+$189INV $189 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 56¢·250 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $141 · WR 88.8%
L
LuckiestBets🥉hedged
Entry 24¢·402.2 shares·also $356 on YES
Invested
$95
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$307
+$307INV $95 · WR 75.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·184 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $92 · WR 85.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·162.1 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $81 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 58¢·100 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $58 · WR 87.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 61¢·75.7 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $46 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·59.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $30 · WR 85.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 74¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 69.5%
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