Geopolitics293 days left
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
69¢
69% implied
NO Price
31¢
31% implied
Volume
$14.6K
509 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 139 traders · 1 on both sides
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+11¢$1.5K1/8Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+11¢0¢
$1.5K1/8
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+29¢$4.5K4/10Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+29¢0¢
$4.5K4/10
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+33¢$3.3K5/10Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+33¢0¢
$3.3K5/10
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
5¢+12¢$4.4K3/15Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+12¢5¢
$4.4K3/15
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs19 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 68%
+1 new YES$3+1 new NO$2
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$68 of $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $984·NO $72YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+1.0%)
Whales
8
M
michi1🥇
Entry 71¢·1,315.9 shares
Invested
$933
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $933 · WR 66.5%
M
Mithrandir.🥈
Entry 68¢·58.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 72.9%
C
Careful-Bunch🥉
Entry 50¢·72.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $37 · WR 55.5%
F
firstbroadhedged
Entry 72¢·47 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $34 · WR 74.6%
L
Loki1118hedged
Entry 42¢·38.4 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $16 · WR 57.4%
F
ForestWindy
Entry 58¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $12 · WR 58.7%
B
big-bird1
Entry 23¢·36.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $8 · WR 68.3%
B
beatrix99
Entry 17¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 85.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$776(-36.5%)
Whales
19
L
laptop.recked🥇
Entry 49¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$590
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $590 · WR 85.9%
K
kupoz🥈
Entry 70¢·646.1 shares
Invested
$452
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-251
$-251INV $452 · WR 86.4%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 50¢·725.5 shares
Invested
$363
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-138
$-138INV $363 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 51¢·374 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $190 · WR 85.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 41¢·340.8 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $140 · WR 71.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 29¢·228.6 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $66 · WR 87.7%
M
molodoyy
Entry 43¢·142.9 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $61 · WR 65.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·105.6 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $53 · WR 79.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $40 · WR 89.5%
F
firstbroadhedged
Entry 37¢·92.5 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$34
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $34 · WR 74.6%
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