Geopolitics248 days left
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
17¢
17% implied
NO Price
83¢
83% implied
Volume
$67.4K
1,768 trades
Smart Whales
54
of 300 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $201.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+31¢$6.2K8/18Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+31¢0¢
$6.2K8/18
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+47¢$6.6K14/16Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+47¢0¢
$6.6K14/16
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+59¢$4.9K16/11Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+59¢0¢
$4.9K16/11
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
24¢−6¢$63.4K9/40Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026−6¢24¢
$63.4K9/40
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Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs40 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.2K is directional: YES $4.1K·NO $2.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-28.3%)
Whales
14
K
kupoz🥇
Entry 57¢·3,947.2 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $2.2K · WR 82.7%
M
michi1🥈
Entry 39¢·4,385.8 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-955
$-955INV $1.7K · WR 66.8%
M
molodoyy🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·142.9 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$133
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $133 · WR 63.3%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 26¢·373.2 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $96 · WR 56.2%
K
klli27
Entry 45¢·165 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $74 · WR 86.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 68¢·58.2 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $40 · WR 69.6%
P
Pointed-Pomegranate
Entry 58¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 73.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 26¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 67.9%
Showing top 8 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+47.8%)
Whales
40
1
101456🥇
Entry 50¢·3,812.2 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-152
$-152INV $1.9K · WR 55.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 43¢·2,205 shares
Invested
$956
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$886
+$886INV $956 · WR 72.0%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 42¢·2,158.6 shares
Invested
$907
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$895
+$895INV $907 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 50¢·1,411.6 shares
Invested
$711
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$467
+$467INV $711 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·720.7 shares
Invested
$358
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$244
+$244INV $358 · WR 79.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 46¢·604 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$228
+$228INV $277 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 69¢·260 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $178 · WR 88.8%
M
merod
Entry 50¢·238.1 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
84.2%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $119 · WR 84.2%
Y
YTMD
Entry 29¢·353.9 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $104 · WR 71.9%
A
0xa169f83d...
Entry 46¢·211.3 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $98 · WR 67.5%
Showing top 10 of 40
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