Geopolitics293 days left
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$4.4K
229 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 67 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+11¢$1.5K1/8Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+11¢0¢
$1.5K1/8
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+29¢$4.5K4/10Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+29¢0¢
$4.5K4/10
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+33¢$3.3K5/10Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+33¢0¢
$3.3K5/10
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←
5¢+12¢$4.4K3/15Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←+12¢5¢
$4.4K3/15
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs15 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$36
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $99 is directional: YES $89·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$170
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$89(-52.3%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$704(+48.3%)
Whales
15
L
laptop.recked🥇
Entry 87¢·650 shares
Invested
$566
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $566 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 50¢·437.3 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$195
+$195INV $219 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 66¢·261.6 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $173 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 55¢·190 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $105 · WR 87.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $100 · WR 89.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·154 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $77 · WR 85.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 68¢·80 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $55 · WR 85.6%
L
LuckiestBetshedged
Entry 49¢·97.8 shares·also $82 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $48 · WR 75.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 88.8%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $33 · WR 79.5%
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