Geopolitics248 days left
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$63.4K
2,342 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 201 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $201.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+31¢$6.2K8/18Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+31¢0¢
$6.2K8/18
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+47¢$6.6K14/16Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+47¢0¢
$6.6K14/16
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+59¢$4.9K16/11Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+59¢0¢
$4.9K16/11
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←
24¢−6¢$63.4K9/40Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026←−6¢24¢
$63.4K9/40
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs40 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%
+4 new YES$26+0 new NO$0
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $85 is directional: YES $31·NO $53YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.6K(-58.3%)
Whales
9
K
kupoz🥇hedged
Entry 79¢·3,070.1 shares·also $150 on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-1697
$-1697INV $2.4K · WR 82.7%
P
polyweatheryuan🥈
Entry 22¢·146.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $33 · WR 55.4%
W
windy-weather🥉
Entry 4¢·773.3 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $31 · WR 55.2%
B
berlinskies
Entry 6¢·254.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $15 · WR 58.8%
Showing top 4 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.0K
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.0K(+49.1%)
Whales
40
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 57¢·2,094.1 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$402
+$402INV $1.2K · WR 87.6%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 51¢·1,967.3 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$488
+$488INV $1.0K · WR 69.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 80¢·951.5 shares
Invested
$757
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $757 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 64¢·1,101.5 shares
Invested
$707
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$130
+$130INV $707 · WR 72.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 63¢·491.2 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $311 · WR 79.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·460 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $240 · WR 87.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 59¢·385 shares
Invested
$228
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $228 · WR 86.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 55¢·360 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $199 · WR 89.2%
K
kupozhedged
Entry 8¢·1,922.6 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$150
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$1310
+$1310INV $150 · WR 82.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 90¢·163.6 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $147 · WR 88.0%
Showing top 10 of 40
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