Geopolitics248 days left
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$52.6K
1,753 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 265 traders
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
6 MARKETS · $201.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+31¢$6.2K8/18Will fewer than 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+31¢0¢
$6.2K8/18
Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+47¢$6.6K14/16Will exactly 5 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+47¢0¢
$6.6K14/16
Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
0¢+59¢$4.9K16/11Will exactly 6 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026+59¢0¢
$4.9K16/11
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026
24¢−6¢$63.4K9/40Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026−6¢24¢
$63.4K9/40
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Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs34 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.3K is directional: YES $3.3K·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
67.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+44.8%)
Whales
11
M
michi1🥇
Entry 34¢·9,042.3 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1509
+$1509INV $3.1K · WR 66.8%
K
kupoz🥈
Entry 33¢·470.6 shares
Invested
$157
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $157 · WR 82.7%
N
NeverSnipe🥉
Entry 47¢·129.8 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $61 · WR 59.7%
P
polyweatheryuan
Entry 37¢·98.8 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $36 · WR 55.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 15¢·100 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $15 · WR 69.6%
W
windy-weather
Entry 16¢·93.6 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $15 · WR 55.2%
B
big-bird1
Entry 41¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 68.5%
Showing top 7 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.2K
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$583(-9.5%)
Whales
34
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 59¢·2,150.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-207
$-207INV $1.3K · WR 72.0%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·1,531 shares
Invested
$768
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $768 · WR 63.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 59¢·1,232.5 shares
Invested
$727
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $727 · WR 87.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 56¢·1,239.3 shares
Invested
$693
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $693 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 56¢·893.9 shares
Invested
$497
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $497 · WR 79.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 63¢·732 shares
Invested
$461
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-102
$-102INV $461 · WR 86.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 44¢·800 shares
Invested
$354
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $354 · WR 69.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 45¢·380 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $172 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 42¢·378.7 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $158 · WR 88.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·250 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $132 · WR 87.6%
Showing top 10 of 34
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