🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Geopolitics293 days left

Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$8.1K
310 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 91 traders

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

6 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs15 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$218+14 new NO$714
$50 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $360 is directional: YES $313·NO $47
YES Team
Total Invested
$331
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$162(+49.0%)
Whales
5
M
michi1🥇
Entry 13¢·2,060 shares
+$144INV $268 · WR 66.5%
C
Careful-Bunch🥈
Entry 14¢·191.9 shares
+$13INV $27 · WR 55.3%
L
LuckiestBets🥉hedged
Entry 89¢·20 shares·also $8 on NO
$-14INV $18 · WR 75.8%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 15¢·100 shares
+$16INV $15 · WR 72.8%
K
k1ngslayer
Entry 17¢·20 shares
+$3INV $3 · WR 81.8%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 2ms (cached)
Smart money 29% YES: exactly 8 tropical cyclones make…