Hard-Boat · Polymarket wallet 0x652b…f5c2

Wallet snapshot

Hard-Boat has made 6,588 trades on Polymarket across 567 markets, $223K in volume. Most of it is in tech (32%) and geopolitics (29%). On 438 resolved markets the win rate is 45.4%, lifetime P&L +$11K. It holds 94 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?". Last trade: Nov 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes · $3,529 · 53¢ → 76¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes · $2,561 · 65¢ → 81¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Yes · $910 · 41¢ → 58¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Yes · $730 · 39¢ → 46¢
• Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes · $421 · 13¢ → 11¢
• Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?No · $376 · 65¢ → 89¢
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes · $296 · 84¢ → 98¢
• Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $276 · 0¢ → 1¢
• Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No · $256 · 57¢ → 73¢
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes · $185 · 44¢ → 28¢

Latest closed positions

• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?Yes · +$93 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$594 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes · -$9 · Nov 12, 2026
• Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?Yes · +$3 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes · +$51 · Nov 12, 2026
• Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$355 · Nov 11, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.