Geopolitics79 days left
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$17.5K
774 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 121 traders
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
23 MARKETS · $897.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs9 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$109+13 new NO$908
$218 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.8K is directional: YES $949·NO $861YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$436(-24.2%)
Whales
11
P
paddaa🥇hedged
Entry 67¢·1,005.3 shares·also $604 on NO
Invested
$676
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $676 · WR 61.1%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$502
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $502 · WR 57.7%
C
Car🥉
Entry 50¢·690.7 shares
Invested
$346
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $346 · WR 64.9%
V
viniihedged
Entry 45¢·334.9 shares·also $183 on NO
Invested
$150
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $150 · WR 65.8%
S
SakuraDevil
Entry 40¢·100 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 72.2%
J
Jet9hedged
Entry 87¢·29.9 shares·also $224 on NO
Invested
$26
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $26 · WR 67.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 56¢·40 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $22 · WR 69.8%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 48¢·35.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $17 · WR 64.9%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 49¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 55.4%
M
mad4x
Entry 50¢·13 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 57.0%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+3.5%)
Whales
9
P
paddaa🥇hedged
Entry 60¢·1,005.3 shares·also $676 on YES
Invested
$604
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $604 · WR 61.1%
C
Capital-Endoderm🥈
Entry 50¢·569.8 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $286 · WR 60.4%
J
Jet9🥉hedged
Entry 54¢·412 shares·also $26 on YES
Invested
$224
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $224 · WR 67.2%
A
adasol
Entry 55¢·388.4 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $213 · WR 66.9%
E
Extroverted-Development
Entry 58¢·365.3 shares
Invested
$212
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $212 · WR 59.7%
V
viniihedged
Entry 59¢·309.9 shares·also $150 on YES
Invested
$183
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $183 · WR 65.8%
D
dylanatexe
Entry 54¢·277.8 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $150 · WR 82.6%
T
trashtier
Entry 58¢·74.4 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $43 · WR 63.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 50¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.2%
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