445 days left
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$88.0K
1,014 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 204 traders · 1 on both sides
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
3 MARKETS · $434.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs32 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$65 of $7.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.7K·NO $6.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$7.2K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.2K(-72.3%)
Whales
14
O
occasionalAwareness◆Proven🥇
Entry 80¢·3,812.5 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-2586
$-2586INV $3.1K · WR 63.1%
P
ProfessionalPunter🥈hedged
Entry 56¢·3,941.3 shares·also $708 on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-1722
$-1722INV $2.2K · WR 74.6%
W
wqujvj🥉
Entry 25¢·3,380.7 shares
Invested
$831
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-409
$-409INV $831 · WR 61.4%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 18¢·2,708.9 shares
Invested
$484
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $484 · WR 68.2%
P
PABLOESCOBAR25
Entry 95¢·217.8 shares
Invested
$207
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $207 · WR 61.0%
N
Naropoly
Entry 35¢·400 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $140 · WR 77.8%
H
h4xor
Entry 16¢·602 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $94 · WR 64.1%
D
Donknuth
Entry 24¢·325.2 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $78 · WR 57.8%
4
0x4e84ce15...
Entry 22¢·208.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $47 · WR 60.2%
B
burakrumhedged
Entry 36¢·89.6 shares·also $109 on NO
Invested
$32
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $32 · WR 68.1%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.5K(+52.2%)
Whales
32
W
whig◆Proven🥇
Entry 64¢·6,000 shares
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$1410
+$1410INV $3.8K · WR 63.1%
F
fafafaffafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafafa🥈
Entry 120¢·3,040.7 shares
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-983
$-983INV $3.6K · WR 57.0%
L
lamyk🥉
Entry 35¢·3,342.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$1739
+$1739INV $1.2K · WR 56.8%
P
ProfessionalPunterhedged
Entry 19¢·3,652.8 shares·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$708
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$2488
+$2488INV $708 · WR 74.6%
D
Diligent-Scenario
Entry 87¢·615 shares
Invested
$534
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $534 · WR 81.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 52¢·860 shares
Invested
$447
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$305
+$305INV $447 · WR 72.2%
3
3648393489047
Entry 27¢·1,572.9 shares
Invested
$421
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$956
+$956INV $421 · WR 65.9%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 83¢·500 shares
Invested
$415
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $415 · WR 57.1%
D
DOJ
Entry 66¢·500 shares
Invested
$330
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $330 · WR 77.3%
E
easierthanmanifold
Entry 73¢·200 shares
Invested
$146
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $146 · WR 58.3%
Showing top 10 of 32
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