lamyk · Polymarket wallet 0xc004…c095

+$19,762 lifetime P&L · 58% win rate · 464 resolved markets · 0xc004b035b67be284e0d1db56c39e865df6cac095

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Wallet snapshot

lamyk has made 4,910 trades on Polymarket across 533 markets, $362K in volume. Most of it is in tech (34%) and geopolitics (24%). On 464 resolved markets the win rate is 58%, lifetime P&L +$20K. It holds 30 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No · $9,195 · 50¢ → 80¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No · $3,681 · 6¢ → 78¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No · $3,089 · 14¢ → 87¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $2,306 · 50¢ → 20¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No · $1,674 · 15¢ → 98¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes · $1,362 · 14¢ → 86¢
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No · $1,025 · 65¢ → 72¢
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Yes · $1,018 · 35¢ → 48¢
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?Yes · $849 · 77¢ → 80¢
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No · $686 · 28¢ → 61¢

Latest closed positions

Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Yes · +$91 · Oct 23, 2026
Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by October 21?Yes · +$13 · Oct 22, 2026
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Yes · -$333 · Oct 20, 2026
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026?Yes · -$74 · Oct 20, 2026
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes · -$6 · Oct 20, 2026
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?Yes · +$274 · Oct 19, 2026

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