YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$18.1K
490 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 154 traders · 2 on both sides
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
11 MARKETS · $177.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026
1¢+33¢$27.3K10/19Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026+33¢1¢
$27.3K10/19
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026
4¢+41¢$7.5K13/16Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026+41¢4¢
$7.5K13/16
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026
1¢+41¢$7.3K10/14Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026+41¢1¢
$7.3K10/14
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026
3¢+53¢$8.8K10/8Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026+53¢3¢
$8.8K10/8
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026
4¢+46¢$6.4K10/10Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026+46¢4¢
$6.4K10/10
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026←
16¢+40¢$18.1K19/15Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026←+40¢16¢
$18.1K19/15
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026
4¢+56¢$6.8K15/10Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026+56¢4¢
$6.8K15/10
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026
7¢+51¢$9.0K15/11Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026+51¢7¢
$9.0K15/11
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026
1¢+67¢$4.3K13/6Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026+67¢1¢
$4.3K13/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
21 YESvs17 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+41 new YES$1.2K+29 new NO$2.3K
$1.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$32 of $573 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $343·NO $198YES Team
Total Invested
$389
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$305(+78.4%)
Whales
21
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 9¢·1,150.2 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $101 · WR 72.1%
0
05005🥈
Entry 22¢·317.1 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $70 · WR 61.2%
2
2Sherlock🥉
Entry 12¢·523.9 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $64 · WR 65.6%
L
lightsout912
Entry 13¢·463.3 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $61 · WR 67.1%
M
melchior1248hedged
Entry 25¢·120 shares·also $640 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $29 · WR 69.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 3¢·796.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $27 · WR 88.9%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 4¢·300.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $11 · WR 84.7%
L
LesterDiamondhedged
Entry 5¢·151.9 shares·also $73 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $8 · WR 87.9%
J
JordanMooneyhedged
Entry 4¢·166.5 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $7 · WR 85.4%
T
Tysha
Entry 5¢·62 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $3 · WR 89.1%
Showing top 10 of 21
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$141(+11.0%)
Whales
17
M
melchior1248🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·701.2 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$640
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $640 · WR 69.5%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 53¢·347.8 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$109
+$109INV $184 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 73¢·180 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $132 · WR 87.7%
L
LesterDiamondhedged
Entry 74¢·99.6 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $73 · WR 87.9%
D
DJa
Entry 82¢·79.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $65 · WR 67.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $40 · WR 86.1%
E
EconProf
Entry 89¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $40 · WR 85.6%
J
JordanMooneyhedged
Entry 74¢·45 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $33 · WR 85.4%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 37¢·33.8 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $13 · WR 84.3%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $12 · WR 86.6%
Showing top 10 of 17
Smart Whale Trades
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