Geopolitics80 days left
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$71.9K
1,707 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 406 traders
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
2 MARKETS · $175.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs28 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$75+13 new NO$365
$88 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.1K is directional: YES $491·NO $4.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$901
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$242(-26.8%)
Whales
29
A
aenews2◆Proven🥇
Entry 44¢·364.6 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $162 · WR 74.6%
M
Mithrandir.🥈
Entry 57¢·200 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $114 · WR 69.8%
M
Majas🥉
Entry 35¢·202.4 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $71 · WR 67.4%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 26¢·218.2 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $57 · WR 55.7%
P
parameter1
Entry 24¢·221.1 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $54 · WR 61.7%
C
Content-Equality
Entry 38¢·135 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $51 · WR 88.2%
S
SingletonFamilyFundhedged
Entry 19¢·264 shares·also $103 on NO
Invested
$49
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $49 · WR 69.2%
I
IbnKhaldun
Entry 36¢·100 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $36 · WR 57.1%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 22¢·122.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 56.5%
J
Jesetrading
Entry 22¢·50 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 67.3%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+14.8%)
Whales
28
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 86¢·2,131.4 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-181
$-181INV $1.8K · WR 57.7%
F
Flamboyant-Night🥈
Entry 82¢·1,222 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $1.0K · WR 82.1%
L
lamyk🥉
Entry 66¢·1,423.2 shares
Invested
$945
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$187
+$187INV $945 · WR 56.8%
M
Marvelous-Headlight
Entry 81¢·1,160 shares
Invested
$938
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $938 · WR 62.7%
U
Umaroth
Entry 44¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$873
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$697
+$697INV $873 · WR 60.6%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 64¢·700 shares
Invested
$445
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $445 · WR 70.0%
P
Prinas◆Proven
Entry 56¢·541.6 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$119
+$119INV $306 · WR 81.2%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 63¢·412.7 shares
Invested
$260
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $260 · WR 74.2%
X
xcaiox
Entry 74¢·274 shares
Invested
$202
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $202 · WR 76.6%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 70¢·165.3 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $115 · WR 79.3%
Showing top 10 of 28
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