lukas11 · Polymarket wallet 0x5c27…1555

Wallet snapshot

lukas11 has made 5,115 trades on Polymarket across 530 markets, $165K in volume. Most of it is in sports (27%) and crypto (17%). On 511 resolved markets the win rate is 66.3%, lifetime P&L +$5,390. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?". Last trade: Nov 2, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No · $700 · 69¢ → 85¢
• Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No · $578 · 73¢ → 96¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $502 · 77¢ → 56¢
• US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No · $486 · 53¢ → 91¢
• US strike on Cuba by December 31?No · $374 · 57¢ → 93¢
• Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?No · $110 · 81¢ → 96¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No · $42 · 79¢ → 45¢
• Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No · $0 · 50¢ → 92¢

Latest closed positions

• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?No · +$30 · Nov 2, 2026
• Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No · +$1,353 · Nov 2, 2026
• Amazon announces a training pause by October 31?No · +$2 · Nov 1, 2026
• ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?No · +$3 · Nov 1, 2026
• Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes · +$7 · Oct 27, 2026
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · +$2,537 · Oct 26, 2026
• Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

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