Tech/AI80 days left
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$32.1K
1,557 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 363 traders · 1 on both sides
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
4 MARKETS · $97.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
33 YESvs28 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$6 of $3.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.5K·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-32.6%)
Whales
33
G
groove-🥇hedged
Entry 58¢·1,372.4 shares·also $574 on NO
Invested
$801
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-465
$-465INV $801 · WR 63.2%
K
KimJonEn🥈
Entry 33¢·1,646.4 shares
Invested
$541
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $541 · WR 74.2%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥉hedged
Entry 86¢·557.1 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$480
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-343
$-343INV $480 · WR 69.2%
H
Hakei.
Entry 21¢·1,307.5 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $281 · WR 71.7%
P
predict000r
Entry 92¢·265.7 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-179
$-179INV $244 · WR 63.7%
K
knowerofmarkets
Entry 25¢·800 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $200 · WR 68.3%
T
tj9
Entry 78¢·256.4 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-136
$-136INV $200 · WR 76.0%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 21¢·656.9 shares·also $444 on NO
Invested
$137
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $137 · WR 74.1%
R
Rumpelstiltskinhedged
Entry 46¢·225.3 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$104
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $104 · WR 57.1%
M
MechaHitlah
Entry 42¢·200 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $84 · WR 71.7%
Showing top 10 of 33
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.9K(+87.7%)
Whales
28
B
big-short◆Proven🥇
Entry 30¢·3,427.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$1560
+$1560INV $1.0K · WR 71.0%
G
groove-🥈hedged
Entry 34¢·1,696.1 shares·also $801 on YES
Invested
$574
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$706
+$706INV $574 · WR 63.2%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 68¢·656.9 shares·also $137 on YES
Invested
$444
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $444 · WR 74.1%
L
libratus1◆Proven
Entry 84¢·530.7 shares
Invested
$444
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $444 · WR 68.7%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 59¢·546.4 shares
Invested
$323
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $323 · WR 56.0%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 52¢·201.7 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $104 · WR 56.1%
K
Kim.Jong.Un
Entry 74¢·83.2 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $61 · WR 57.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 11¢·400 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$259
+$259INV $43 · WR 57.7%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 42¢·100 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$42
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $42 · WR 67.1%
B
BabyIBeenWatchingYou
Entry 40¢·87.7 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $35 · WR 65.7%
Showing top 10 of 28
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