Tech/AI90 days left
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
YES Price
22ยข
22% implied
NO Price
78ยข
78% implied
Volume
$53.7K
1,527 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 358 traders ยท 1 on both sides
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
4 MARKETS ยท $96.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs26 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars ยท 14 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$6 of $3.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.5KยทNO $2.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-45.2%)
Whales
32
G
groove-๐ฅhedged
Entry 58ยขยท1,372.4 sharesยทalso $574 on NO
Invested
$801
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-506
$-506INV $801 ยท WR 63.2%
K
KimJonEn๐ฅ
Entry 33ยขยท1,646.4 shares
Invested
$541
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $541 ยท WR 74.2%
S
SingletonFamilyFund๐ฅhedged
Entry 86ยขยท557.1 sharesยทalso $19 on NO
Invested
$480
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-360
$-360INV $480 ยท WR 69.4%
H
Hakei.
Entry 21ยขยท1,307.5 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $281 ยท WR 71.7%
P
predict000r
Entry 92ยขยท265.7 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $244 ยท WR 63.7%
K
knowerofmarkets
Entry 25ยขยท800 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $200 ยท WR 68.3%
T
tj9
Entry 78ยขยท256.4 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-156
$-156INV $200 ยท WR 76.3%
I
iutwpfalhedged
Entry 21ยขยท656.9 sharesยทalso $444 on NO
Invested
$137
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $137 ยท WR 73.9%
K
Kim.Jong.Unhedged
Entry 161ยขยท83.2 sharesยทalso $61 on NO
Invested
$134
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $134 ยท WR 57.7%
R
Rumpelstiltskinhedged
Entry 46ยขยท225.3 sharesยทalso $3 on NO
Invested
$104
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $104 ยท WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+93.9%)
Whales
26
B
big-shortโProven๐ฅ
Entry 30ยขยท3,427.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$1663
+$1663INV $1.0K ยท WR 71.0%
G
groove-๐ฅhedged
Entry 34ยขยท1,696.1 sharesยทalso $801 on YES
Invested
$574
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$757
+$757INV $574 ยท WR 63.2%
I
iutwpfal๐ฅhedged
Entry 68ยขยท656.9 sharesยทalso $137 on YES
Invested
$444
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $444 ยท WR 73.9%
L
libratus1โProven
Entry 84ยขยท530.7 shares
Invested
$444
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $444 ยท WR 68.9%
C
Contentious-DinnerdateโProven
Entry 59ยขยท546.4 shares
Invested
$323
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $323 ยท WR 56.1%
L
lukas11
Entry 80ยขยท94.2 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $75 ยท WR 67.6%
K
Kim.Jong.Unhedged
Entry 74ยขยท83.2 sharesยทalso $134 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $61 ยท WR 57.7%
A
Annihilation
Entry 81ยขยท70 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $56 ยท WR 65.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 11ยขยท400 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$271
+$271INV $43 ยท WR 57.8%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 42ยขยท100 sharesยทalso $75 on YES
Invested
$42
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $42 ยท WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 26
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