Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$9.3K
243 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 100 traders
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
5 MARKETS · $106.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs3 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $0·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$6
Avg Win Rate
74.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-49.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$110(+8.5%)
Whales
3
B
big-short◆Proven🥇
Entry 88¢·1,379.1 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $1.2K · WR 71.0%
T
thetinman7272🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·50 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $46 · WR 77.9%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 91¢·23.3 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $21 · WR 68.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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