Tech/AI90 days left
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
YES Price
4ยข
4% implied
NO Price
96ยข
96% implied
Volume
$26.5K
534 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 169 traders
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
4 MARKETS ยท $96.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs16 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars ยท 5 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h โ no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides โ all $1.4K is directional: YES $111ยทNO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$897
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$838(-93.4%)
Whales
11
B
big-short๐ฅhedged
Entry 74ยขยท615 sharesยทalso $115 on NO
Invested
$456
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-433
$-433INV $456 ยท WR 71.0%
G
Glorious-Pretzel๐ฅhedged
Entry 64ยขยท289.5 sharesยทalso $51 on NO
Invested
$184
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $184 ยท WR 61.3%
T
tj9๐ฅ
Entry 38ยขยท262.9 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $100 ยท WR 76.3%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 42ยขยท188 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $78 ยท WR 68.3%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 96ยขยท57 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $55 ยท WR 64.8%
U
Uncomfortable-Jailhedged
Entry 26ยขยท30.2 sharesยทalso $21 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 ยท WR 63.6%
E
ebersuyo
Entry 5ยขยท100 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 ยท WR 63.6%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 21ยขยท19.8 sharesยทalso $16 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 ยท WR 67.0%
S
Submissive-Antelope
Entry 19ยขยท19 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 ยท WR 73.5%
P
purebaby
Entry 8ยขยท16.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 ยท WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$935(+63.4%)
Whales
16
L
libratus1โProven๐ฅ
Entry 91ยขยท500.6 shares
Invested
$456
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $456 ยท WR 68.9%
B
BabyIBeenWatchingYou๐ฅ
Entry 78ยขยท398.9 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $312 ยท WR 65.7%
L
luish๐ฅ
Entry 75ยขยท290 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $218 ยท WR 75.4%
P
parameter1
Entry 74ยขยท190.3 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $140 ยท WR 61.3%
B
big-shorthedged
Entry 19ยขยท615 sharesยทalso $456 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$477
+$477INV $115 ยท WR 71.0%
M
margokallas43
Entry 95ยขยท74.5 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $71 ยท WR 84.6%
S
shishuykin5561
Entry 95ยขยท69 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $66 ยท WR 87.1%
G
Glorious-Pretzelhedged
Entry 18ยขยท289.5 sharesยทalso $184 on YES
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$227
+$227INV $51 ยท WR 61.3%
U
Uncomfortable-Jailhedged
Entry 68ยขยท30.2 sharesยทalso $8 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $21 ยท WR 63.6%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 80ยขยท19.8 sharesยทalso $4 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 ยท WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 16
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