luish · Polymarket wallet 0x0da4…edde

Wallet snapshot

luish has made 1,292 trades on Polymarket across 285 markets, $71K in volume. Most of it is in tech (30%) and geopolitics (14%). On 251 resolved markets the win rate is 75.3%, lifetime P&L +$2,510. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?". Last trade: Sep 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?No · $269 · 75¢ → 93¢
• SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No · $227 · 49¢ → 63¢
• Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes · $158 · 73¢ → 33¢
• EU debt downgrade before 2027?No · $144 · 69¢ → 87¢
• Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No · $133 · 55¢ → 62¢
• Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?Yes · $92 · 39¢ → 28¢
• Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?No · $28 · 76¢ → 95¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No · $1 · 84¢ → 88¢

Latest closed positions

• Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No · +$67 · Oct 1, 2026
• Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No · -$50 · Sep 7, 2026
• US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No · +$122 · Sep 5, 2026
• Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$67 · Sep 4, 2026
• Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes · +$18 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No · +$13 · Aug 20, 2026

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