Tech/AI80 days left
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$27.7K
1,023 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 225 traders
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $133.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs45 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $41YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
68.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$554(+23.4%)
Whales
15
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·1,676.6 shares·also $421 on NO
Invested
$823
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$275
+$275INV $823 · WR 74.1%
D
datawitch🥈hedged
Entry 198¢·187.8 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$372
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-249
$-249INV $372 · WR 59.3%
L
luish🥉
Entry 73¢·478.9 shares
Invested
$351
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $351 · WR 75.4%
C
conherence
Entry 74¢·252.3 shares
Invested
$187
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $187 · WR 58.8%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 52¢·350 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $183 · WR 63.6%
B
big-short◆Proven
Entry 24¢·554.8 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $135 · WR 71.0%
U
Uncomfortable-Jail
Entry 57¢·234.7 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $134 · WR 63.6%
L
libratus1◆Proven
Entry 84¢·113.8 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $96 · WR 68.7%
P
parameter1
Entry 22¢·289 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $63 · WR 61.7%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 52¢·12.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 73.2%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
81.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$91(+4.8%)
Whales
45
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 25¢·1,676.6 shares·also $823 on YES
Invested
$421
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $421 · WR 74.1%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 41¢·496.8 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $203 · WR 85.8%
A
Anon321321🥉
Entry 42¢·366.6 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $155 · WR 86.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 39¢·343 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $132 · WR 86.0%
K
korda77
Entry 43¢·237 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $102 · WR 85.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 41¢·176.4 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $73 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 38¢·164 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $62 · WR 87.7%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 46¢·131 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $60 · WR 83.8%
D
datawitchhedged
Entry 31¢·187.7 shares·also $372 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $58 · WR 59.3%
I
i18z
Entry 46¢·121.3 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $56 · WR 87.1%
Showing top 10 of 45
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