Tech/AI80 days left
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$16.7K
536 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 170 traders
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
4 MARKETS · $97.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs16 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $110·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$896
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$837(-93.4%)
Whales
10
B
big-short🥇hedged
Entry 74¢·615 shares·also $115 on NO
Invested
$456
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-434
$-434INV $456 · WR 71.0%
G
Glorious-Pretzel🥈hedged
Entry 64¢·289.5 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$184
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-174
$-174INV $184 · WR 61.7%
T
tj9🥉
Entry 38¢·262.9 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $100 · WR 76.0%
C
CompulsiveGambler
Entry 42¢·188 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $78 · WR 68.3%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 96¢·57 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $55 · WR 63.3%
U
Uncomfortable-Jailhedged
Entry 26¢·30.2 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 63.6%
D
DatosNoRelatos
Entry 5¢·100 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 65.7%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 21¢·19.8 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 67.1%
S
Submissive-Antelope
Entry 19¢·19 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 73.5%
P
purebaby
Entry 8¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
69.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$937(+63.5%)
Whales
16
L
libratus1◆Proven🥇
Entry 91¢·500.6 shares
Invested
$456
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $456 · WR 68.7%
B
BabyIBeenWatchingYou🥈
Entry 78¢·398.9 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $312 · WR 65.7%
L
luish🥉
Entry 75¢·290 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $218 · WR 75.4%
P
parameter1
Entry 74¢·190.3 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $140 · WR 61.7%
B
big-shorthedged
Entry 19¢·615 shares·also $456 on YES
Invested
$115
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$478
+$478INV $115 · WR 71.0%
M
margokallas43
Entry 95¢·74.5 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $71 · WR 84.6%
S
shishuykin5561
Entry 95¢·69 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $66 · WR 84.8%
G
Glorious-Pretzelhedged
Entry 18¢·289.5 shares·also $184 on YES
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$227
+$227INV $51 · WR 61.7%
U
Uncomfortable-Jailhedged
Entry 68¢·30.2 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $21 · WR 63.6%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 80¢·19.8 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 67.1%
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