vanpro · Polymarket wallet 0x18dd…5c04

Wallet snapshot

vanpro has made 187 trades on Polymarket across 68 markets, $1,888 in volume. Most of it is in crypto (33%) and sports (18%). On 57 resolved markets the win rate is 66.7%, lifetime P&L +$81. It holds 8 open positions right now; the largest is No on "China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Jul 31, 2026.

Largest open positions

• China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No · $10 · 92¢ → 93¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No · $10 · 92¢ → 93¢
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No · $10 · 91¢ → 90¢
• Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?No · $9 · 91¢ → 89¢
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No · $9 · 90¢ → 86¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No · $7 · 88¢ → 57¢
• Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No · $5 · 73¢ → 35¢
• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Yes · $2 · 42¢ → 24¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?Yes · +$63 · Aug 3, 2026
• Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Yes · -$1 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes · +$3 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No · +$10 · Jul 31, 2026
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No · -$1 · Jul 31, 2026
• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?Yes · +$3 · Jul 19, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.