xcaiox · Polymarket wallet 0x7478…4003

Wallet snapshot

xcaiox has made 1,710 trades on Polymarket across 290 markets, $76K in volume. Most of it is in tech (44%) and sports (17%). On 265 resolved markets the win rate is 76.6%, lifetime P&L +$3,930. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?". Last trade: Aug 22, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $9,701 · 79¢ → 24¢
• Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No · $2,717 · 80¢ → 97¢
• Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No · $1,692 · 89¢ → 94¢
• Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No · $581 · 82¢ → 82¢
• Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No · $380 · 86¢ → 87¢
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $363 · 80¢ → 98¢
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $221 · 60¢ → 97¢
• Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No · $221 · 73¢ → 81¢
• Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No · $218 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No · $192 · 66¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes · +$40 · Oct 7, 2026
• Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?No · +$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Marcelo Aro win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?No · +$14 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes · +$19 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No · +$1 · Oct 5, 2026
• Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes · +$11 · Oct 5, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.