Geopolitics81 days left
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$103.4K
1,688 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 451 traders · 7 on both sides
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
2 MARKETS · $175.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs42 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 34 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$44 of $7.6K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $525·NO $7.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$886
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$485(-54.8%)
Whales
17
A
aenews2🥇hedged
Entry 13¢·3,002.8 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$394
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-169
$-169INV $394 · WR 74.6%
M
molly-rabby🥈
Entry 94¢·181.9 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $171 · WR 92.7%
M
Metusalem🥉
Entry 10¢·1,200 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $117 · WR 64.4%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 96¢·84.5 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $81 · WR 69.2%
W
weelcap
Entry 92¢·56.8 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $52 · WR 67.7%
A
ansatz
Entry 9¢·300 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $27 · WR 78.7%
G
Grouchy-Charger
Entry 13¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.7%
R
r5pet4g9p16nhedged
Entry 19¢·6.1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 62.3%
S
shaolinok
Entry 13¢·7.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 78.3%
0
0x01eebb36...hedged
Entry 21¢·5 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.7K
Avg Win Rate
77.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$836(+10.8%)
Whales
42
E
Ethan99999🥇
Entry 85¢·2,023.7 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
+$148
+$148INV $1.7K · WR 64.8%
X
xcaiox🥈
Entry 89¢·1,799.8 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $1.6K · WR 76.6%
M
masoin🥉
Entry 90¢·787.6 shares
Invested
$712
Win Rate
95.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $712 · WR 95.7%
N
nathanck
Entry 90¢·745.3 shares
Invested
$673
Win Rate
98.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $673 · WR 98.5%
M
Marvelous-Headlight
Entry 51¢·1,297 shares
Invested
$657
Win Rate
62.7%
Position P&L
+$543
+$543INV $657 · WR 62.7%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 90¢·500 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $450 · WR 74.2%
G
gracey
Entry 92¢·411.5 shares
Invested
$377
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $377 · WR 93.8%
F
Freeborne
Entry 92¢·326.1 shares
Invested
$301
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $301 · WR 80.0%
T
tllat
Entry 90¢·258 shares
Invested
$233
Win Rate
96.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $233 · WR 96.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 90¢·250 shares
Invested
$224
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $224 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 42
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