Polymarket wallet 0x1bcb…435c

Wallet snapshot

Wallet 0x1bcb…435c has made 908 trades on Polymarket across 226 markets, $1,480 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (42%) and politics (16%). On 189 resolved markets the win rate is 56.6%, lifetime P&L +$70. It holds 34 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Sep 25, 2026.

Largest open positions

• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes · $3 · 25¢ → 26¢
• Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No · $3 · 97¢ → 97¢
• Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes · $3 · 2¢ → 6¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $2 · 72¢ → 83¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes · $2 · 16¢ → 7¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes · $2 · 27¢ → 28¢
• Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?No · $1 · 62¢ → 88¢
• Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes · $1 · 16¢ → 6¢
• Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No · $1 · 78¢ → 93¢
• Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $1 · 70¢ → 78¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · +$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes · -$3 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes · +$0 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No · -$1 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes · +$0 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No · -$1 · Sep 25, 2026
• Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.