Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$168.3K
3,782 trades
Smart Whales
60
of 751 traders · 1 on both sides
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
11 MARKETS · $7.77M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
17¢+17¢$209.3K20/38Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢17¢
$209.3K20/38
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
7¢+19¢$359.0K13/37Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢7¢
$359.0K13/37
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←
100¢−46¢$248.7K33/28Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←−46¢100¢
$248.7K33/28
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
98¢−48¢$4.9K5/5Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−48¢98¢
$4.9K5/5
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢
$65.0K4/3
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
73¢−20¢$14.9K8/7Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−20¢73¢
$14.9K8/7
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
21¢+19¢$5852/3Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢21¢
$5852/3
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
89¢−14¢$1393/1Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−14¢89¢
$1393/1
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
63¢—$680/0Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—63¢
$680/0
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Smart Money Consensus
33 YESvs28 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $6.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.7K·NO $4.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.6K(+85.8%)
Whales
33
F
fElon🥇
Entry 69¢·3,109.8 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$966
+$966INV $2.1K · WR 89.8%
B
BetterFish◆Proven🥈
Entry 95¢·500 shares
Invested
$477
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $477 · WR 70.2%
A
aenews2◆Proven🥉
Entry 34¢·805.7 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$529
+$529INV $277 · WR 74.6%
G
Gluedhedged
Entry 27¢·888 shares·also $829 on NO
Invested
$240
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$648
+$648INV $240 · WR 56.2%
A
Aromatic-Carter
Entry 42¢·423 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$244
+$244INV $179 · WR 57.1%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 84¢·208.5 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$176
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $176 · WR 56.3%
I
i.newton◆Proven
Entry 90¢·156 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $140 · WR 86.7%
L
LosingEverything12312312323123◆Proven
Entry 64¢·195 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $125 · WR 73.1%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 46¢·222 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $102 · WR 73.8%
.
.ethguy
Entry 10¢·550 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$495
+$495INV $55 · WR 60.7%
Showing top 10 of 33
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
69.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.1K(-98.8%)
Whales
28
H
Hakei.🥇
Entry 25¢·10,232.8 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-2575
$-2575INV $2.6K · WR 71.7%
R
Rr55◆Proven🥈
Entry 44¢·3,092.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-1357
$-1357INV $1.4K · WR 73.2%
G
Glued🥉hedged
Entry 93¢·888 shares·also $240 on YES
Invested
$829
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-829
$-829INV $829 · WR 56.2%
S
Simon4shedged
Entry 44¢·189.5 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$84
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $84 · WR 74.4%
T
tttt123
Entry 34¢·200 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $69 · WR 69.2%
A
albert.00
Entry 66¢·75.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $50 · WR 69.0%
W
Winged-Holderhedged
Entry 27¢·165.9 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 63.3%
B
baomihua
Entry 64¢·55 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 60.0%
5
5atka
Entry 41¢·78.3 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 57.1%
S
sludgelife
Entry 63¢·50 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $32 · WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 28
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