GeopoliticsResolved81 days left

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

100¢

100% implied

NO Price

0¢

0% implied

Volume

$94.2K

2,253 trades

Smart Whales

73

of 585 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

11 MARKETS · $7.61M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

17¢+17¢$209.3K20/38

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢17¢

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

7¢+19¢$359.0K13/37

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢7¢

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←

100¢−38¢$94.2K45/28

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←−38¢100¢

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

98¢−48¢$4.9K5/5

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−48¢98¢

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

73¢−20¢$14.9K8/7

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−20¢73¢

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

21¢+19¢$5852/3

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢21¢

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

89¢−14¢$1393/1

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−14¢89¢

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—63¢

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

95¢−46¢$335.5K51/53

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−46¢95¢

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

8¢+42¢$6.53M258/254

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+42¢8¢

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Smart Money Consensus

45 YESvs28 NO

62%38%

62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 24 YES vs 8 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.3K is directional: YES $3.2K·NO $63

YES Team

Total Invested

$4.6K

Avg Win Rate

81.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$1.4K(+31.0%)

Whales

45

Entry 73¢·1,285.8 shares

+$341INV $944 · WR 93.5%

Entry 88¢·957.1 shares

+$114INV $843 · WR 89.8%

aenews2Proven🥉

Entry 80¢·782.4 shares

+$157INV $625 · WR 74.6%

LosingEverything12312312323123Proven

Entry 86¢·517.8 shares

+$72INV $445 · WR 73.1%

AccruingBadKarma

Entry 79¢·327.1 shares

+$69INV $258 · WR 71.4%

Entry 50¢·472 shares

+$236INV $236 · WR 95.0%

BetterFishProven

Entry 86¢·221.1 shares

+$32INV $189 · WR 70.2%

Entry 90¢·200 shares

+$21INV $179 · WR 86.7%

Aromatic-Carter

Entry 76¢·210 shares

+$51INV $159 · WR 57.1%

Monies-For-Nuggies

Entry 75¢·200 shares

+$50INV $150 · WR 84.4%

Showing top 10 of 45

NO Team

Total Invested

$795

Avg Win Rate

71.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$647(-81.3%)

Whales

28

Entry 23¢·2,131.7 shares

$-489INV $489 · WR 71.7%

bimpotato🥈hedged

Entry 83¢·73.3 shares·also $18 on YES

$-61INV $61 · WR 88.9%

Entry 14¢·195.8 shares

$-28INV $28 · WR 57.1%

Entry 36¢·66.1 shares·also $47 on YES

$-24INV $24 · WR 55.3%

Entry 22¢·50 shares

$-11INV $11 · WR 59.4%

Entry 8¢·116 shares

$-10INV $10 · WR 74.4%

Entry 14¢·66 shares

$-9INV $9 · WR 74.2%

Entry 24¢·24.8 shares

$-6INV $6 · WR 55.6%

Entry 17¢·30 shares

$-5INV $5 · WR 81.0%

Nonstop-Tailspin

Entry 28¢·10 shares

$-3INV $3 · WR 77.9%

Showing top 10 of 28

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