Michael5289 · Polymarket wallet 0x3c76…d4ee

Wallet snapshot

Michael5289 has made 15,431 trades on Polymarket across 2,396 markets, $1.3M in volume. Most of it is in politics (32%) and geopolitics (26%). On 2,354 resolved markets the win rate is 95%, lifetime P&L +$37K. It holds 33 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No · $489 · 82¢ → 98¢
• New COVID variant of concern before 2027?No · $413 · 80¢ → 86¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $278 · 81¢ → 96¢
• New pandemic in 2026?No · $277 · 63¢ → 96¢
• Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?No · $274 · 90¢ → 90¢
• Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?No · $226 · 82¢ → 92¢
• Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No · $195 · 65¢ → 97¢
• Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?No · $192 · 86¢ → 96¢
• NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?No · $176 · 80¢ → 93¢
• Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?No · $171 · 83¢ → 98¢

Latest closed positions

• Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No · +$25 · Oct 16, 2026
• Will Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?No · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?No · +$6 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?No · +$2 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?Yes · +$1 · Oct 13, 2026
• Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$14 · Oct 12, 2026

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