top-gamble · Polymarket wallet 0xa255…4e23

+$4,801 lifetime P&L · 74.2% win rate · 124 resolved markets · 0xa25502f62ea18c227e3629d01475474a50344e23

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Wallet snapshot

top-gamble has made 762 trades on Polymarket across 149 markets, $40K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (56%) and economics (23%). On 124 resolved markets the win rate is 74.2%, lifetime P&L +$4,801. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?". Last trade: Apr 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No · $491 · 30¢ → 78¢
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?No · $179 · 31¢ → 96¢
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No · $158 · 78¢ → 96¢
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes · $64 · 84¢ → 64¢
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No · $63 · 71¢ → 97¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes · $41 · 47¢ → 21¢
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No · $29 · 78¢ → 93¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $12 · 40¢ → 83¢
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?No · $8 · 88¢ → 98¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes · $5 · 19¢ → 10¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No · +$1 · Jul 26, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No · +$1 · Jul 26, 2026
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?No · +$1 · Jul 26, 2026
Joe Kent charged by April 30?No · +$0 · Jul 26, 2026
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No · +$1 · Jul 26, 2026
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?No · +$0 · Jul 26, 2026
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in June?No · +$0 · Jul 26, 2026

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