GeopoliticsResolved

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$697.8K
7,255 trades
Smart Whales
102
of 981 traders

Smart Money Consensus

35 YESvs67 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $50 is directional: YES $50·NO $0

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 34% YES: a Gulf State carry out military action…