Geopolitics81 days left
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$1.94M
34,346 trades
Smart Whales
513
of 2,716 traders
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
10 MARKETS · $7.52M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
17¢+17¢$209.3K20/38Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢17¢
$209.3K20/38
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
7¢+19¢$359.0K13/37Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢7¢
$359.0K13/37
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
98¢−48¢$4.9K5/5Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−48¢98¢
$4.9K5/5
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢
$65.0K4/3
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
73¢−20¢$14.9K8/7Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−20¢73¢
$14.9K8/7
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
23¢+17¢$5852/3Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢23¢
$5852/3
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
89¢−14¢$1393/1Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−14¢89¢
$1393/1
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
63¢—$680/0Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—63¢
$680/0
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Smart Money Consensus
258 YESvs255 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 21 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%
+3 new YES$5+2 new NO$51
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.1K is directional: YES $355·NO $3.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-48.8%)
Whales
258
G
Glued🥇hedged
Entry 66¢·1,167.8 shares·also $88 on NO
Invested
$775
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-681
$-681INV $775 · WR 56.2%
1
12100K🥈hedged
Entry 91¢·382.2 shares·also $109 on NO
Invested
$349
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-318
$-318INV $349 · WR 79.5%
B
Bikesarethebest🥉hedged
Entry 27¢·968.1 shares·also $728 on NO
Invested
$265
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-188
$-188INV $265 · WR 56.3%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 285¢·89.1 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-246
$-246INV $254 · WR 64.4%
S
studmuffin6969
Entry 27¢·730.8 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-142
$-142INV $200 · WR 60.0%
G
georgecalinescu8635hedged
Entry 76¢·216.2 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$164
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-147
$-147INV $164 · WR 69.7%
P
Petty-Stacking
Entry 16¢·532.4 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $87 · WR 55.7%
C
0xc9f197ff...hedged
Entry 34¢·182.8 shares·also $137 on NO
Invested
$63
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $63 · WR 63.1%
G
gellej
Entry 27¢·100 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $27 · WR 86.7%
8
88mnm88
Entry 20¢·95.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $19 · WR 77.1%
Showing top 10 of 258
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+34.9%)
Whales
255
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven🥇
Entry 85¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$855
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$66
+$66INV $855 · WR 74.2%
B
Bikesarethebest🥈hedged
Entry 74¢·984.5 shares·also $265 on YES
Invested
$728
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$178
+$178INV $728 · WR 56.3%
G
Gaujmalietis🥉
Entry 74¢·883.4 shares
Invested
$658
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $658 · WR 87.2%
3
3zekiel
Entry 92¢·580 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $536 · WR 87.3%
F
fElon
Entry 90¢·572.5 shares
Invested
$517
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $517 · WR 89.8%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 93¢·412.8 shares
Invested
$384
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $384 · WR 73.2%
S
Simon4s
Entry 92¢·307.7 shares
Invested
$283
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $283 · WR 74.4%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 92¢·248.4 shares
Invested
$229
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $229 · WR 90.5%
C
0xc9f197ff...hedged
Entry 75¢·182.8 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$137
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $137 · WR 63.1%
D
deepsleep
Entry 91¢·130 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $119 · WR 69.2%
Showing top 10 of 255
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