Resolved81 days left
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$15.8K
551 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 163 traders · 5 on both sides
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
11 MARKETS · $7.54M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
17¢+17¢$209.3K20/38Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+17¢17¢
$209.3K20/38
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
7¢+19¢$359.0K13/37Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢7¢
$359.0K13/37
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←
100¢−41¢$15.8K16/11Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←−41¢100¢
$15.8K16/11
Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
98¢−48¢$4.9K5/5Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−48¢98¢
$4.9K5/5
Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢
$65.0K4/3
Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
73¢−20¢$14.9K8/7Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−20¢73¢
$14.9K8/7
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
21¢+19¢$5852/3Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+19¢21¢
$5852/3
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
89¢−14¢$1393/1Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−14¢89¢
$1393/1
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
63¢—$680/0Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—63¢
$680/0
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Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs11 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$10 of $762 is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $723·NO $29YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.1K(+64.3%)
Whales
16
A
aenews2🥇hedged
Entry 65¢·1,154.5 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$751
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$404
+$404INV $751 · WR 74.6%
F
fElon🥈
Entry 90¢·762.7 shares
Invested
$687
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $687 · WR 89.8%
S
SDODNDPD🥉
Entry 62¢·161.7 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $100 · WR 73.8%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 18¢·430 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$351
+$351INV $79 · WR 73.2%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 98¢·57.2 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $56 · WR 70.2%
R
Rusty-Wit
Entry 25¢·201.3 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $51 · WR 67.8%
S
stablecoin
Entry 100¢·35 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
96.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $35 · WR 96.2%
V
vibebettinghedged
Entry 3¢·74.6 shares·also $69 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $3 · WR 55.0%
R
r5pet4g9p16nhedged
Entry 84¢·1.3 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.3%
0
0x01eebb36...
Entry 83¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.7%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$160
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$160(-100.0%)
Whales
11
V
vibebetting🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·74.6 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$69
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $69 · WR 55.0%
S
Simon4s🥈
Entry 19¢·222.4 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 74.4%
H
Hakei.🥉
Entry 14¢·182.2 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $26 · WR 71.7%
A
aenews2hedged
Entry 17¢·57.5 shares·also $751 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 74.6%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 24¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 56.3%
R
r5pet4g9p16nhedged
Entry 38¢·8.8 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 62.3%
1
0x10011320...hedged
Entry 41¢·2.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 64.0%
1
0x1bcb1bb4...hedged
Entry 41¢·2.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.6%
8
0x8242a089...
Entry 41¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.2%
D
0xd4e8d484...hedged
Entry 41¢·2.4 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.3%
Showing top 10 of 11
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