Tech/AI19 days left
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$515.9K
6,091 trades
Smart Whales
302
of 1,048 traders · 2 on both sides
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
23 MARKETS · $2.24M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+23¢$119.0K12/40Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+23¢0¢
$119.0K12/40
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+72¢$4.1K23/9Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+72¢0¢
$4.1K23/9
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026←
27¢+29¢$515.9K167/132Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026←+29¢27¢
$515.9K167/132
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+50¢$11.5K22/22Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+50¢0¢
$11.5K22/22
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+47¢$23.9K21/24Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+47¢0¢
$23.9K21/24
Will Company A have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
50¢+50¢$09/0Will Company A have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+50¢50¢
$09/0
Will Company E have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
50¢+50¢$09/0Will Company E have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+50¢50¢
$09/0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+34¢$85.8K17/33Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+34¢0¢
$85.8K17/33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
71¢−7¢$480.2K158/89Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026−7¢71¢
$480.2K158/89
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+60¢$4.9K24/16Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+60¢0¢
$4.9K24/16
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
1¢+22¢$250.4K25/85Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+22¢1¢
$250.4K25/85
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+78¢$5.5K25/7Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+78¢0¢
$5.5K25/7
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+80¢$2.3K24/6Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+80¢0¢
$2.3K24/6
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+79¢$18.8K23/6Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+79¢0¢
$18.8K23/6
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+41¢$54.4K20/29Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+41¢0¢
$54.4K20/29
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+64¢$7.4K25/14Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+64¢0¢
$7.4K25/14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
1¢+30¢$301.6K35/79Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+30¢1¢
$301.6K35/79
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+11¢$263.9K11/88Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+11¢0¢
$263.9K11/88
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+89¢$54024/3Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+89¢0¢
$54024/3
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+77¢$6.5K23/7Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+77¢0¢
$6.5K23/7
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+86¢$92524/4Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026+86¢0¢
$92524/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
167 YESvs137 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 123 YES vs 39 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$575+19 new NO$1.5K
$25 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
4 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$24 of $140.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $121.8K·NO $18.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$128.4K
Avg Win Rate
87.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$73.5K(-57.2%)
Whales
167
P
Popopolly🥇
Entry 79¢·117,433.5 shares
Invested
$92.7K
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-62142
$-62142INV $92.7K · WR 92.3%
L
lisra🥈
Entry 35¢·13,664.2 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-1184
$-1184INV $4.7K · WR 62.5%
B
bmtr🥉
Entry 44¢·7,648 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-1363
$-1363INV $3.4K · WR 63.5%
B
bartholomew31
Entry 40¢·5,223.8 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
67.6%
Position P&L
$-724
$-724INV $2.1K · WR 67.6%
C
Cooper1
Entry 66¢·2,300 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-926
$-926INV $1.5K · WR 85.7%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 29¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $1.4K · WR 56.0%
W
wwon
Entry 48¢·2,418.9 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-544
$-544INV $1.2K · WR 83.0%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 64¢·1,505 shares
Invested
$961
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-570
$-570INV $961 · WR 73.2%
V
vtx
Entry 81¢·1,140 shares
Invested
$923
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-627
$-627INV $923 · WR 72.2%
D
Dragontree◆Proven
Entry 28¢·3,234 shares
Invested
$898
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $898 · WR 67.4%
Showing top 10 of 167
NO Team
Total Invested
$85.8K
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$32.1K(+37.5%)
Whales
137
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 54¢·31,315.5 shares
Invested
$16.8K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$6171
+$6171INV $16.8K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·32,493.3 shares
Invested
$16.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$7766
+$7766INV $16.1K · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 45¢·11,194.7 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3205
+$3205INV $5.0K · WR 79.6%
R
rando12345
Entry 65¢·4,233.2 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$395
+$395INV $2.7K · WR 67.0%
D
0xd32ce89f...◆Proven
Entry 28¢·6,356.1 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$2885
+$2885INV $1.8K · WR 83.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 69¢·1,991.4 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $1.4K · WR 55.3%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 13¢·9,378.2 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$5678
+$5678INV $1.3K · WR 61.5%
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven
Entry 62¢·2,050 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $1.3K · WR 69.4%
D
dedidanc◆Proven
Entry 65¢·1,628.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $1.1K · WR 62.1%
R
Rumpelstiltskin
Entry 74¢·1,224.2 shares
Invested
$908
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $908 · WR 57.1%
Showing top 10 of 137
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