YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$8.3K
557 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 262 traders · 2 on both sides
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
17 MARKETS · $76.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026
2¢+39¢$7.1K9/13Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 16, 2026+39¢2¢
$7.1K9/13
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026
0¢+50¢$1.6K8/8Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 17, 2026+50¢0¢
$1.6K8/8
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 18, 2026
0¢+36¢$2.0K4/7Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 18, 2026+36¢0¢
$2.0K4/7
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026
6¢+32¢$3.0K5/8Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026+32¢6¢
$3.0K5/8
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026←
32¢+24¢$8.3K15/12Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026←+24¢32¢
$8.3K15/12
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026
2¢+38¢$2.9K6/9Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026+38¢2¢
$2.9K6/9
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026
19¢+34¢$4.5K8/7Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 22, 2026+34¢19¢
$4.5K8/7
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026
9¢+46¢$1.9K6/5Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026+46¢9¢
$1.9K6/5
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026
2¢+68¢$1.1K7/3Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026+68¢2¢
$1.1K7/3
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 2026
0¢0¢$4500/6Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 25, 20260¢0¢
$4500/6
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026
1¢+13¢$2.4K1/6Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026+13¢1¢
$2.4K1/6
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026
1¢+41¢$1.5K5/7Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026+41¢1¢
$1.5K5/7
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026
1¢+49¢$1.2K5/5Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026+49¢1¢
$1.2K5/5
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026
1¢+39¢$2.5K4/6Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026+39¢1¢
$2.5K4/6
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026
0¢+33¢$2052/4Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 30, 2026+33¢0¢
$2052/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
45 YESvs62 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 39 YES vs 53 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+68 new YES$229+114 new NO$886
$71 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
35 smart whales54 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4 of $871 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $447·NO $420YES Team
Total Invested
$543
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$347(+63.9%)
Whales
45
L
lamyk🥇
Entry 15¢·1,594.9 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$271
+$271INV $235 · WR 57.2%
T
turtle911◆Proven🥈
Entry 31¢·308.5 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $97 · WR 73.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 78¢·71.3 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$56
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $56 · WR 55.2%
2
2Sherlock
Entry 31¢·98.6 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $31 · WR 67.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 9¢·296.1 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $27 · WR 72.1%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $20 · WR 56.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 26¢·68.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $18 · WR 59.7%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 13¢·110 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $14 · WR 56.5%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 10¢·56 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $6 · WR 59.8%
W
WeFoundLove
Entry 12¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $5 · WR 66.2%
Showing top 10 of 45
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$92(+8.6%)
Whales
62
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 57¢·951.9 shares
Invested
$538
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $538 · WR 69.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 89¢·400 shares
Invested
$355
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $355 · WR 57.6%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 50¢·104.7 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $52 · WR 86.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 32¢·71.2 shares·also $56 on YES
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $23 · WR 55.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $18 · WR 87.7%
M
monica30
Entry 74¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 84.8%
I
ItsukiNakamura
Entry 71¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 75.0%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 9¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $2 · WR 85.8%
0
0x00ba488e...
Entry 70¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.6%
A
0xa63d6d53...
Entry 70¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 62
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