caigou · Polymarket wallet 0x31a7…1ba9

Wallet snapshot

caigou has made 1,034 trades on Polymarket across 185 markets, $15K in volume. Most of it is in sports (90%) and tech (6%). On 181 resolved markets the win rate is 68.5%, lifetime P&L -$18. It holds 5 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 19, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?No · $239 · 88¢ → 87¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?No · $229 · 97¢ → 95¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?No · $228 · 99¢ → 98¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?No · $29 · 86¢ → 84¢
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?No · $5 · 86¢ → 83¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?No · +$149 · Oct 21, 2026
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?No · +$74 · Oct 16, 2026
• OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?Yes · -$6 · Oct 14, 2026
• Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$54 · Oct 13, 2026
• Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes · +$11 · Sep 28, 2026
• Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.