Geopolitics19 days left
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$198.4K
3,147 trades
Smart Whales
134
of 413 traders
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
3 MARKETS · $384.9K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
51 YESvs83 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 55 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 68%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$314+11 new NO$511
$266 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20.4K is directional: YES $3.2K·NO $17.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$11.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.2K(-46.2%)
Whales
51
P
puravida🥇hedged
Entry 60¢·4,550.2 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-2172
$-2172INV $2.7K · WR 59.9%
L
laureman🥈
Entry 61¢·1,463.3 shares
Invested
$888
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-698
$-698INV $888 · WR 91.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 60¢·1,455.7 shares·also $812 on NO
Invested
$869
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-687
$-687INV $869 · WR 55.3%
N
Newshound
Entry 49¢·917.7 shares
Invested
$447
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-328
$-328INV $447 · WR 57.1%
P
paddaahedged
Entry 41¢·991.1 shares·also $241 on NO
Invested
$409
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-285
$-285INV $409 · WR 61.1%
P
Partial-Adrenalin◆Proven
Entry 46¢·862.1 shares
Invested
$397
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-285
$-285INV $397 · WR 61.5%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 20¢·1,522 shares
Invested
$304
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-106
$-106INV $304 · WR 75.9%
E
Eia
Entry 43¢·600 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $256 · WR 61.7%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 63¢·325.3 shares
Invested
$205
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-162
$-162INV $205 · WR 56.0%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 17¢·1,137.7 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $191 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 51
NO Team
Total Invested
$24.8K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.5K(+26.1%)
Whales
83
2
20260601🥇
Entry 80¢·3,343.1 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$237
+$237INV $2.7K · WR 64.4%
M
MEPP🥈
Entry 63¢·3,846.6 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
64.2%
Position P&L
+$914
+$914INV $2.4K · WR 64.2%
P
puravida🥉hedged
Entry 51¢·4,550.2 shares·also $2.7K on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$1676
+$1676INV $2.3K · WR 59.9%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 71¢·2,113.3 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$334
+$334INV $1.5K · WR 60.5%
N
Noname333◆Proven
Entry 81¢·1,737.2 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $1.4K · WR 76.1%
B
browne
Entry 80¢·1,733 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $1.4K · WR 75.5%
C
cookedquail
Entry 80¢·1,549.2 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $1.2K · WR 59.3%
E
enrico-vasaio
Entry 72¢·1,499.7 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$210
+$210INV $1.1K · WR 63.2%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 76¢·1,216.5 shares
Invested
$925
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$133
+$133INV $925 · WR 74.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 56¢·1,455.7 shares·also $869 on YES
Invested
$812
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$462
+$462INV $812 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 83
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