Geopolitics38 days left
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
YES Price
75¢
75% implied
NO Price
25¢
25% implied
Volume
$256
72 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 29 traders · 2 on both sides
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
4 MARKETS · $8.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs4 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$658+13 new NO$391
$504 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 61% of the money is not a bet
$123 of $202 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $78·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$162
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$10(+6.2%)
Whales
5
D
DARLAMARLA🥇hedged
Entry 87¢·68.9 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $60 · WR 79.0%
P
puravida🥈hedged
Entry 69¢·79.5 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $55 · WR 60.3%
H
hithitfar🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·55.6 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $23 · WR 58.7%
L
Lasting-Stag
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 58.3%
F
FrogCharts
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 65.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$114
Avg Win Rate
60.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$33(-28.9%)
Whales
4
P
puravida🥇hedged
Entry 30¢·184.2 shares·also $55 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $55 · WR 60.3%
H
hithitfar🥈hedged
Entry 93¢·55.6 shares·also $23 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $52 · WR 58.7%
D
DARLAMARLA🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·25 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 79.0%
S
stra-h22
Entry 11¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 81.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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