Geopolitics38 days left

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)

YES Price
75¢
75% implied
NO Price
25¢
25% implied
Volume
$256
72 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 29 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs4 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 75%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$658+13 new NO$391
$504 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 61% of the money is not a bet
$123 of $202 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $78·NO $1

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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