Politics21 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$213.2K
416 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 107 traders · 1 on both sides
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
3 MARKETS · $1.22M MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←
6¢+44¢$213.2K17/17Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←+44¢6¢
$213.2K17/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs15 NO
62%39%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$1.8K+10 new NO$4.7K
$521 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $2.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.5K·NO $89YES Team
Total Invested
$36.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$32.4K(-88.3%)
Whales
24
M
MisTKy🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·34,393.1 shares·also $374 on NO
Invested
$31.7K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-29726
$-29726INV $31.7K · WR 71.3%
W
whig◆Proven🥈
Entry 92¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-1724
$-1724INV $1.8K · WR 63.1%
C
classified◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·9,843.9 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-506
$-506INV $1.1K · WR 82.7%
C
Car
Entry 6¢·9,850.5 shares
Invested
$630
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $630 · WR 64.9%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 6¢·5,922 shares
Invested
$358
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $358 · WR 56.0%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 91¢·335.7 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-286
$-286INV $305 · WR 64.4%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 6¢·4,059.3 shares
Invested
$234
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $234 · WR 84.8%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 6¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $116 · WR 57.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 50¢·227.7 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-101
$-101INV $114 · WR 68.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 6¢·1,962.7 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$112
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $112 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$622(+13.6%)
Whales
15
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·1,962.7 shares·also $112 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $1.8K · WR 55.3%
A
AlphaGooo🥈
Entry 94¢·1,039 shares
Invested
$977
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $977 · WR 61.9%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant🥉
Entry 91¢·535.7 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $487 · WR 64.9%
M
MisTKyhedged
Entry 46¢·821.7 shares·also $31.7K on YES
Invested
$374
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$400
+$400INV $374 · WR 71.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 92¢·404.9 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $373 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·407.2 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $204 · WR 79.6%
P
peterfromfamilyguyhedged
Entry 93¢·100 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$93
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $93 · WR 60.5%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 93¢·100 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $93 · WR 88.2%
T
trader-9b779399hedged
Entry 94¢·58.1 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$54
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $54 · WR 66.7%
Showing top 9 of 15
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