Politics23 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$146.3K
264 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 74 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
3 MARKETS · $616.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←
7¢+43¢$146.3K17/17Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←+43¢7¢
$146.3K17/17
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
17 YESvs17 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+54 new YES$11.4K+53 new NO$126.9K
$20.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 31 buyers — left out of momentum
17 smart whales20 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19.5K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $18.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-57.5%)
Whales
17
W
whig◆Proven🥇
Entry 92¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-1709
$-1709INV $1.8K · WR 63.1%
M
MisTKy🥈
Entry 8¢·14,382.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $1.1K · WR 71.3%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven🥉
Entry 91¢·335.7 shares
Invested
$305
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-283
$-283INV $305 · WR 64.4%
G
groth◆Proven
Entry 6¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $120 · WR 65.0%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 7¢·1,700 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $112 · WR 84.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 6¢·1,962.7 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$112
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $112 · WR 55.3%
A
Antony82
Entry 7¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $70 · WR 61.7%
C
Car
Entry 8¢·555 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $44 · WR 64.9%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 19¢·170.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $33 · WR 56.8%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 6¢·367 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $23 · WR 56.0%
Showing top 10 of 17
NO Team
Total Invested
$22.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$257(+1.2%)
Whales
17
C
classified◆Proven🥇
Entry 92¢·15,257.6 shares
Invested
$14.0K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$247
+$247INV $14.0K · WR 82.7%
2
20260601🥈
Entry 93¢·2,770.3 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $2.6K · WR 64.4%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 94¢·1,962.7 shares·also $112 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $1.8K · WR 55.3%
P
puravida
Entry 93¢·1,575 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1.5K · WR 59.9%
A
AlphaGooo
Entry 94¢·1,039 shares
Invested
$977
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $977 · WR 61.9%
T
Torn-Myth
Entry 91¢·535.7 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $487 · WR 64.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 92¢·404.9 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $373 · WR 87.7%
P
peterfromfamilyguyhedged
Entry 93¢·100 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$93
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $93 · WR 60.5%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 93¢·100 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $93 · WR 88.2%
I
Isengard1
Entry 92¢·100 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $92 · WR 61.0%
Showing top 10 of 17
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