AlexZA3 · Polymarket wallet 0x5c5b…1a6d

Wallet snapshot

AlexZA3 has made 3,611 trades on Polymarket across 201 markets, $77K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (93%) and politics (5%). On 156 resolved markets the win rate is 62.8%, lifetime P&L +$2,377. It holds 32 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No · $1,237 · 53¢ → 84¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $694 · 78¢ → 88¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $600 · 78¢ → 83¢
• Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No · $499 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No · $430 · 80¢ → 97¢
• Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No · $342 · 68¢ → 87¢
• Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No · $296 · 46¢ → 81¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No · $273 · 56¢ → 83¢
• Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No · $247 · 89¢ → 95¢
• Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?No · $196 · 77¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No · +$1 · Oct 10, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$15 · Oct 8, 2026
• Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No · +$9 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No · +$5 · Oct 2, 2026
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No · +$4 · Oct 1, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes · +$0 · Sep 30, 2026
• Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?

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