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Geopolitics15 days left

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
61¢
61% implied
NO Price
39¢
39% implied
Volume
$139.2K
1,162 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 348 traders · 2 on both sides

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

9 MARKETS · $13.63M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

36 YESvs23 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 16 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+42 new YES$15.2K+45 new NO$10.1K
$7.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $34.1K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $22.5K·NO $11.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$23.2K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-5.0%)
Whales
36
C
classifiedProven🥇
Entry 65¢·20,599.3 shares
$-821INV $13.4K · WR 82.7%
M
M2sx92kljs42🥈
Entry 67¢·3,564.3 shares
$-213INV $2.4K · WR 71.3%
N
nope3050🥉
Entry 58¢·2,682.4 shares
+$93INV $1.5K · WR 68.0%
T
Tenebrus7Proven
Entry 65¢·2,085.8 shares
$-84INV $1.4K · WR 74.2%
C
Car
Entry 59¢·1,665 shares
+$33INV $982 · WR 65.0%
F
Folletin
Entry 62¢·1,005 shares
$-10INV $623 · WR 69.8%
S
StarMasterhedged
Entry 108¢·427.6 shares·also $206 on NO
$-202INV $461 · WR 55.3%
S
SusanWarrenHRProven
Entry 60¢·569.8 shares
+$8INV $340 · WR 67.4%
D
debasedProven
Entry 57¢·554.4 shares
+$20INV $318 · WR 65.9%
S
SeniorLaghetto
Entry 57¢·556.7 shares
+$24INV $316 · WR 69.4%
Showing top 10 of 36

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 59% YES: US x Iran ceasefire continues through…