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Geopolitics

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$10.00M
30,045 trades
Smart Whales
585
of 3,122 traders · 13 on both sides

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $12.46M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

413 YESvs185 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 275 YES vs 75 NO taking a side · 2 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+352 new YES$750.9K+259 new NO$491.3K
$416.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 138 buyers — left out of momentum
111 smart whales92 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$4.1K of $612.2K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $564.2K·NO $43.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$749.1K
Avg Win Rate
77.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$143.9K(+19.2%)
Whales
413
S
scout🥇
Entry 99¢·77,185 shares
$-14179INV $76.4K · WR 91.5%
T
tetrase🥈
Entry 79¢·93,089.5 shares
+$1156INV $73.6K · WR 74.0%
J
JSG3🥉
Entry 82¢·66,174.5 shares
+$11349INV $54.3K · WR 64.5%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Entry 93¢·57,771 shares
$-10132INV $53.9K · WR 88.9%
1
18in36out
Entry 96¢·55,194.4 shares
+$1724INV $53.0K · WR 97.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 42¢·119,161.1 shares
+$48677INV $49.8K · WR 72.1%
M
mr.oziProven
Entry 101¢·28,230.9 shares
$-5754INV $28.5K · WR 71.4%
S
SleeperHunter
Entry 98¢·23,613.2 shares
+$231INV $23.1K · WR 74.1%
B
browne
Entry 98¢·20,002.7 shares
$-3122INV $19.6K · WR 75.5%
L
Lolakis
Entry 41¢·42,466.8 shares
+$17050INV $17.2K · WR 61.8%
Showing top 10 of 413

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 69% YES: US x Iran ceasefire continues through…