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Geopolitics3 days left

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$2.1K
59 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 34 traders · 1 on both sides

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

12 MARKETS · $14.91M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs3 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 85%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$5.0K+23 new NO$938
$189 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $3.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3.5K·NO $35
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
75.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$653(-18.7%)
Whales
8
L
laureman🥇
Entry 90¢·2,008.6 shares
$-351INV $1.8K · WR 82.0%
M
MEPP🥈
Entry 89¢·1,000 shares
$-165INV $890 · WR 64.1%
T
tetrase🥉
Entry 88¢·726.8 shares
$-113INV $640 · WR 74.0%
Y
yerubaalAA
Entry 85¢·151 shares
$-19INV $128 · WR 67.1%
P
PcMYjCcPrd5yb35I
Entry 89¢·12 shares
$-2INV $11 · WR 60.0%
5
0x54498e4c...
Entry 91¢·9.9 shares
$-2INV $9 · WR 55.4%
B
Blueynbingo
Entry 83¢·6 shares
$-1INV $5 · WR 69.8%
F
Fickle-Halt-Windowhedged
Entry 89¢·3 shares·also $22 on NO
$-1INV $3 · WR 59.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 71% YES: US x Iran ceasefire continues through…